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25-11-2013
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rox_yr_sox's Avatar
 
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Film Awards Season 2013-2014
All the big awards season films are being released or soon to be released, so I thought it would be a good time to start the thread. Last year's thread was one of my fave tFS threads.

To start us off, the Hollywood Reporter has highlighted their chosen few in their annual Actor/Actress Roundtable:

CYGMomy.jpg 39_cover_actors_roundtable_a_p.jpg


hollywood reporter

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Last edited by rox_yr_sox; 25-11-2013 at 10:26 AM.
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25-11-2013
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A lot of the press is saying this year will be super competitive. It will be interesting to see it play out, particuarly as more films get released.

At this early stage, my thoughts on who's possible for nominations and winning (highlighted in bold) for the Oscars:

Best Actress:
Cate Blanchett
(Blue Jasmine), Julia Roberts or Meryl Streep (not both, for August: Osage County), Sandra Bullock (Gravity), Judi Dench (Philomena), Emma Thompson (Saving Mr Banks)
Outside chance: Kate Winslet (Labor Day), Adèle Exarchopoulos (Blue Is The Warmest Color)
It's going to be between Cate (dramatic chops, overdue for appreciation?) & Sandra (loved by industry and public, successful film).

Best Actor:
Chiwetel Ejiofor
(12 Years a Slave), Christian Bale (American Hustle or Out of the Furnace), Tom Hanks (Captain Phillips), Matthew McConaughey (Dallas Buyers Club), Michael B Jordan (Fruitvale Station)
Outside chance: Idris Elba (Long Walk to Freedom), Forest Whitaker (The Butler), Joaquin Phoenix (Her), Robert Redford (All Is Lost), Leonardo DiCaprio (the Wolf of Wall Street), Bruce Dern (Nebraska), Oscar Isaac (Inside Llewellyn Davis)
My god this category is super crowded! This will be a killer race. It think Chiwetel will just nab it.

Best Supporting Actress:
Lupita Nyong'o
(12 Years a Slave), Amy Adams or Jennifer Lawrence (American Hustle), Oprah (The Butler), Julia Roberts or Meryl Streep (whoever not nominated for Lead, for August: Osage County), Octavia Spencer (Fruitvale Station)
Outside chance: Scarlett Johansson (Her), Naomie Harris (Long Walk to Freedom), Amy Adams (Her)
Close between Oprah (industry links) & Lupita (stunning debut).

Best Supporting Actor:
Michael Fassbender (12 Years a Slave), George Clooney (Gravity), Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club), Tom Hanks (Saving Mr Banks), James Gandolfini (Enough Said)
Outside chance: Steve Coogan (Philomena), Bradley Cooper or Jeremy Renner (not both, for American Hustle), Jonah Hill (The Wolf of Wall Street)
Close between Michael (shocking but stunning turn as a monster, plus has paid his dues in the industry and unfairly snubbed last year) and Jaerd Leto (very noteworthy turn).

Best Director: Alfonso Cuarón (Gravity)
Best Picture: 12 Years a Slave

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Last edited by rox_yr_sox; 25-11-2013 at 10:50 AM.
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25-11-2013
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Julia Roberts will go supporting for A:OC (Oscar fraud all the way) and Amy Adams will problably go leading through its not confirmed (she has better chances at supporting tho).

so far my predictions are:
BEST PICTURE: 12 Years a Slave
BEST DIRECTOR: Steve McQueen
BEST ACTOR: Chiwetel Ejiofor
BEST ACTRESS: Cate Blanchett
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Michael Fassbender (with Jared Leto too damn close)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Lupita Nyong'o (fingers crossed)

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25-11-2013
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My pre-precursor predictions.

Picture
1. 12 Year a Slave
2. Gravity
3. Captian Phillips
4. American Hustle
5. The Wolf of Wolf Street
6. Fruitville Station
7. Inside Llewyn Davis
8. Nebraska
9. Blue Jasmine
10. The Butler
(Also possible: Philomena, Saving Mr. Banks, Dallas Buyers Club, Her)

Best Director
1. Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave
2. Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity
3. Paul Greengrass, Captain Phillips
4. David O. Russell, American Hustle
5. Ryan Coogler, Fruitville Station
(Also possible: Martin Scorsese, Woody Allen, Coen brothers, Spike Jonze, Alexander Payne)

Best Actor
1. Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave
2. Tom Hanks, Captain Phillips
3. Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
4. Robert Redford, All is Lost
5. Bruce Dern, Nebraska
(Also possible: Joaquin Phoenix, Christian Bale, Michael B. Jordan, Forest Whitaker, Leonardo DiCaprio)

Best Actress
1. Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
2. Sandra Bullock, Gravity
3. Judi Dench, Philomena
4. Emma Thompson, Saving Mr. Banks
5. Amy Adams, American Hustle
(Also possible: Meryl Streep, Adele Exarchopoulos, Brie Larson)

Best Supporting Actor
1. Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave
2. Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club
3. Bradley Cooper, American Hustle
4. Jonah Hill, The Wolf of Wall Street
5. Daniel Bruhl, Rush
(Also possible: Tom Hanks, Barkhad Abdi, Will Forte, Steve Coogan, George Clooney)

Best Supporting Actress
1. Oprah Winfrey, The Butler
2. Lupita Nyong'o, 12 Years a Slave
3. Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
4. June Squibb, Nebraska
5. Octavia Spencer, Fruitville Station
(Also possible: Julia Roberts, Sally Hawkins, Scarlett Johansson)

I might be overestimating Fruitville Station, but it's one of the best reviewed films of the year and it has Harvey Weinstein behind it. I currently have August: Osage County shut out. It's gotten mixed reviews. People are tired of Meryl at the moment. And it's not clear whether Julia is back in everyone's graces. We'll see.

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25-11-2013
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I think Greta Gerwig should be nominated for Frances Ha but I don't know if she will be.

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26-11-2013
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The first (semi) major group of the season - Independent Spirit Awards.

BEST FEATURE:
"12 Years A Slave"
"All Is Lost"
"Frances Ha"
"Inside Llewyn Davis"
"Nebraska"

BEST DIRECTOR:
Shane Carruth - "Upstream Color"
J.C. Chandor - "All Is Lost"
Steve McQueen - "12 Years A Slave"
Jeff Nichols - "Mud"
Alexander Payne - "Nebraska"

BEST LEAD MALE:
Bruce Dern - "Nebraska"
Chiwetel Ejiofor - "12 Years A Slave"
Oscar Isaac - "Inside Llewyn Davis"
Michael B. Jordan - "Fruitvale Station"
Matthew McConaughey - "Dallas Buyers Club"
Robert Redford - "All Is Lost"

BEST LEAD FEMALE:
Cate Blanchett - "Blue Jasmine"
Julie Delpy - "Before Midnight"
Gaby Hoffman - "Crystal Fairy"
Brie Larson - "Short Term 12"
Shailene Woodley - "The Spectacular Now"

BEST SUPPORTING MALE:
Michael Fassbender - "12 Years A Slave"
Will Forte - "Nebraska"
James Gandolfini - "Enough Said"
Jared Leto - "Dallas Buyers Club"
Keith Stanfield - "Short Term 12"

BEST SUPPORTING FEMALE:
Melonie Diaz - "Fruitvale Station"
Sally Hawkins - "Blue Jasmine"
Lupita N'Yongo - "12 Years A Slave"
Yolanda Ross - "Go For Sisters"
June Squibb - "Nebraska"

BEST FIRST FEATURE:
"Blue Caprice"
"Concussion"
"Fruitvale Station"
"Una Noche"
"Wadjda"

JOHN CASSAVETES AWARD:
"Computer Chess"
"Crystal Fairy"
"Museum Hours"
"Pit Stop"
"This Is Martin Bonner"

BEST SCREENPLAY:
Woody Allen - "Blue Jasmine"
Julie Delpy, Ethan Hawke, Richard Linklater - "Before Midnight"
Nicole Holofcener - "Enough Said"
Scott Neustadter & Michael H. Weber - "The Spectacular Now"
John Ridley - "12 Years A Slave"

BEST FIRST SCREENPLAY:
Lake Bell - "In A World"
Joseph Gordon-Levitt - "Don Jon"
Bob Nelson - "Nebraska"
Jill Soloway - "Afternoon Delight"
Michael Starburry - "The Inevitable Defeat Of Mister & Pete"

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Sean Bobbitt - "12 Years A Slave"
Benoit Debie - "Spring Breakers"
Bruno Delbonnel - "Inside Llewyn Davis"
Frank G. Demarco - "All Is Lost"
Matthias Grunsky - "Computer Chess"

BEST EDITING:
Shane Carruth & David Lowery - "Upstream Color"
Jem Cohen & Marc Vives - "Museum Hours"
Jennifer Lame - "Frances Ha"
Cindy Lee - "Una Noche"
Nat Sanders - "Short Term 12"

BEST INTERNATIONAL FILM:
"A Touch Of Sin"
"Blue Is The Warmest Color"
"Gloria"
"The Great Beauty"
"The Hunt"

BEST DOCUMENTARY
"The Act Of Killing"
"After Tiller"
"Gideon's Army"
"The Square"
"Twenty Feet From Stardom"

PIAGET PRODUCERS AWARD
Toby Halbrooks & James M. Johnson
Jacob Jaffke
Andrea Roa
Ferderick Thornton

TRUER THAN FICTION AWARDS:
Kalyanee Mam - "A River Changes Course"
Jason Osder - "Let The Fire Burn"
Stephanie Spray & Pancho Valez - "Manakamana"

SOMEONE TO WATCH AWARDS:
Aaron Douglas Johnston - "My Sisters' Quinceanera"
Shaka King - "Newlyweeds"
Madeleine Olnek - "The Foxy Merkins"

ROBERT ALTMAN AWARD
"Mud"

TALLY
12 Years a Slave – 7
Nebraska - 6
All is Lost – 4
Inside Llewyn Davis – 3
Blue Jasmine – 3
Short Term 12 – 3
Fruitville Station - 3
Frances Ha – 2
Upstream Color – 2
Mud – 2 (1 nomination, 1 win)
Before Midnight – 2
Crystal Fairy – 2
The Spectacular Now – 2
Dallas Buyers Club – 2
Enough Said – 2
Una Noche – 2
Computer Chess – 2
Museum Hours - 2

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26-11-2013
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Does anyone else really not care for any of the big award films of 2013? I usually have at least a few that I keep my fingers crossed for but I'm kind of indifferent to everything this year.

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26-11-2013
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I think Tom Hanks is going to be nominated for both Best Actor and Best Supporting Actor and win Best Supporting. Cate Blanchett doesn't seem to be campaigning much but Sandra Bullock is and therefore I think Sandra could be a surprise winner. Best Actor is way too close for me to guess who is going to win but I think it's between Chiwetel Ejiofor and, if he actually gives a good performance, Leo in The Wolf of Wall Street. Best supporting actress is a close one and between Lupita, Oprah and Jennifer in my opinion. I think this is the category where there's going to be a different winner everything meaning that it will be up in the air until Oscar night. After watching The Hollywood Reporter Directors' Roundtable, I'm quite sure Cuaron is going to win it. The other directors just seemed so in awe of him.

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26-11-2013
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Eh I found "Gravity" to be overrated. It's good but it's not as amazing as all the hype - have heard this from a lot of people too so I am not alone. His "Children of Men" is twice the film, in my opinion.

Can't believe - literally can't believe - Greta Grewig didn't get a nom for ISA's female lead. Craziness abounds!

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26-11-2013
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pixiedust1603 View Post
I think Tom Hanks is going to be nominated for both Best Actor and Best Supporting Actor and win Best Supporting. Cate Blanchett doesn't seem to be campaigning much but Sandra Bullock is and therefore I think Sandra could be a surprise winner. Best Actor is way too close for me to guess who is going to win but I think it's between Chiwetel Ejiofor and, if he actually gives a good performance, Leo in The Wolf of Wall Street. Best supporting actress is a close one and between Lupita, Oprah and Jennifer in my opinion. I think this is the category where there's going to be a different winner everything meaning that it will be up in the air until Oscar night. After watching The Hollywood Reporter Directors' Roundtable, I'm quite sure Cuaron is going to win it. The other directors just seemed so in awe of him.
Sandra was not good enough to win an oscar in that movie. Cate's roll has been something thats been talked about getting oscar nomination before the movie even came out. I think she deserves to win.

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26-11-2013
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^ I agree with you; I like Sandra Bullock but that performance is not Oscar worthy.

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26-11-2013
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I'm so pleased to hear a lot of buzz about 12 Years a Slave, from everything I've seen about it, it's just a tour de force of a film and the cast and crew deserve the praise. One thing I'll admit I'm slightly worried about happening is that they won't nominate the lead actor, Chiwetel Ejiofor, and instead someone like Michael Fassbender will be the only male nomination. I mean, look at what happened with Django Unchained. Unfortunately, I sometimes do not have a lot of faith in those voting for the award shows. I have a bit of a love-hate relationship with the film industry in many cases. I haven't really herd any talk about any women helmed films being nominated for Best Director, which is a damn shame, the industry keeps dropping the ball with such things, it's rather upsetting. Maybe Haifaa al-Mansour will get a nom for Wadjda??? That would be phenomenal. Keeping my fingers crossed and my hopes up for a good film award season this year!

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27-11-2013
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Not Plain Jane View Post
Eh I found "Gravity" to be overrated. It's good but it's not as amazing as all the hype - have heard this from a lot of people too so I am not alone. His "Children of Men" is twice the film, in my opinion.
I'm with you on that. Gravity looked pretty and was ok, but I still don't understand all the hyperbole reviews for it. I'm a big fan of all involved (Clooney has been growing on me too, lately) but I was disappointed with the movie. Mostly because of the hype it had. Agreed about Children of Men too. A much better movie. I'll be happy to see Alfonso Cuaron nominated, but if Gravity wins anything from the above the line categories, it'll be a crime.

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27-11-2013
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I think Sandra deserves a nom for Gravity simply for sustaining an entire movie of that scale by herself. With the wrong actress, sitting through a film like that could have been tedious but Sandra made it work.

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^ Not to be overly cynical, but she'll probably get a nomination because of the amount of money the film has made - the Oscars, in particular, seem to be driven by money and political campaigning.

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