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19-02-2013
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If anyone is interested this is what the "experts" are predicting for the Oscars -

http://www.goldderby.com/odds/experts/85/

Breakdown of each critics choices -

http://www.goldderby.com/awardshows/...t-picture.html

We are doing our own completion at my work. Submissions need to be by Friday. I better win :p

I'm stuck on Supporting Actor and Animation. The critics are between De Niro and Lee Jones but Waltz won the Globe and BAFTA. I'm leaning more towards him. Brave keeps on winning but I just have this feeling the Oscar is going to someone else.

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20-02-2013
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Everyone should post their predictions here too and let's see how we go getting it right as movie awards season followers.

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20-02-2013
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I'll post mine:

Picture
Argo is the frontrunner, but with the Director snub, things could still go wrong. I still think Argo will take it, but if not, either Lincoln or especially Silver Linings Playbook could spoil.

Director
Without Affleck here, the race seems wide open since the precursors essentially told us nothing. I'll be bold here and go with Russell, since Academy seemed to like his film, but Spielberg seems to be the more conventional choice and could take it too. Honestly, I wouldn't be that surprised if Haneke pulls off a win either.

Actor
Unfortunately, it doesn't seem like anyone can overtake Daniel Day Lewis at this point. Blagh. Maybe Cooper could upset if SLP is that favored by the Academy, but nah, I don't think so.

Actress
I'm sticking with Jen Lawrence. It girl status, reviews, box office, Harvey, precursors. She seems to have the most going for her. Obviously Chastain and Riva could spoil.

S.Actor
Another one where it's difficult to pick because the precursors were split. I don't know if I could make a prediction because literally anyone could win. The consensus seems to be forming that Jones is up front, but I think De Niro has just as good a shot.

S.Actress
Anne Hathaway should prevail. I will actually feel bad for her if she doesn't. Plus, she deserves it. If she does manage to lose, it'll be either to Amy Adams or Sally Field.

O. Screenplay
Given its support in other categories, this is Amour's best shot in a non Foreign Language Film category. I'll go with Django as the alternative.

A. Screenplay
Since they have to reward Argo somewhere to 'justify' its Picture win, I'll say it prevails here. Otherwise, it's Silver Linings Playbook and then Lincoln.

Animated
Brave. Maybe Wreck-It-Ralph.

Foreign Language
Amour.

Cinematography
Life of Pi. Skyfall as the alternative.

Editing
Argo. I suppose Zero Dark Thirty could have a chance...

Art Direction
Les Miserables. Anna Karenina is a good possibility too.

Costumes
Anna Karenina. Les Miserables is a possibility too.

O. Score
Life of Pi. Or Argo.

O. Song
Skyfall. Though given how this category can be very unpredictable, Les Miserables could upset.

Sound Mixing
Les Miserables. Maybe Skyfall of Life of Pi too.

Sound Editing
Skyfall. Maybe Life of Pi or Zero Dark Thirty too.

Visual Effects
Life of Pi. Or maybe The Hobbit.

Makeup
Les Miserables. Or The Hobbit.

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21-02-2013
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Picture
Argo is the winner. Not that I really like the film but its going to win.

Director
Spielberg may take the Oscar. It would put him on the selective group of directors with 3 Oscars.

Actor
Daniel Day Lewis has no competition.

Actress
My head says Lawrence but I have a feeling that Riva will win. Its one of those cases that if she wasnt nominee Lawrence would win but since she is nominee she can take it.

Suportive Actor
This is even more hard to predict than actress, basically everyone can win (even Alan) but I think it will go for Waltz.

Sportive Actress
In this category its more accurate to predict how surprised will Anne Hathway be when she wins.

O. Screenplay
Amour (but it gan also go to Django or ZDT)

A. Screenplay
Argo

Animated
Wreck it Ralph (PLEASSEEE!!)

Editing
Zero Dark Thirty or Argo

Foreign Language
Amour

I dont really care about the rest tbh but Adele is going to win.

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21-02-2013
  140
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I haven't finalised my predictions yet but I think that this year is the first time that I am actually going to bother to stay up to watch the show. I love the host and I am excited to see the musical slant to the whole thing. I only wish that Nicole and Ewan would do something from Moulin Rouge.
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21-02-2013
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A fascinating look into how one Academy voter decided his votes for this year's Oscar race. I wouldn't be surprised if this is how most of the voters make their decisions.

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/rac...-ballot-422546

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21-02-2013
  142
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That article wasn't fascinating to me. Just more proof that Hollywood actually does go by favoritism and meritocracy rather than who actually deserves to win/be nominated. This is why the Oscars have gotten so out of touch the last decade or so.

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22-02-2013
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Who I think will win (not who I hope will win)

Picture: Argo
Director: Ang Li
Actress: Riva
Actor: DDL
Supporting Actress: Anne
Supporting Actor: Waltz
Original Screenplay: Django
Adapted Screenplay: Argo
Animated Feature: Brave
Foreign: Amour
Documentary Feature: The Invisible War

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22-02-2013
  144
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Who/what I think will win
Picture: Argo (UGH)
Director: Steven Spielburg
Actress: Watts or Lawrence
Actor: DDL
Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway
Supporting Actor: DeNiro
Original Screenplay: Django Unchained
Adapted Screenplay: Argo
Animated Feature: Wreck-it Ralph
Foreign: Amour
Cinematography: Life of Pi
Score: Life of Pi
Song: Skyfall

Who/what I think should win:
Picture: Beasts of the Southern Wild - easily the most heart wrenching and unconventional film of the bunch in my opinion
Director: Benh Zeitlin or Haneke - both gave something different to what we're used to seeing. if PTA was nominated for The Master I would have definitely gone for him.
Actress: Chastain - Even though Chastain's performance was subdued something about it just moved me. She brought a nice mixture of vulnerability and stubbornness.
Actor: Joaquin Phoenix - One of the best performances of the decade. The fact that he's not the undeniable front runner is insane to me. Cooper is number two for me in this category.
Supporting Actress: Amy Adams - perfect balance of doting wife and dominant force
Supporting Actor: Hoffman - all performances in The Master were just perfect. Hoffman nailed the charismatic and sketchy aspects of this character perfectly.
Original Screenplay: Zero Dark Thirty - I don't really care for any of the nominees in this category but ZD30 is definitely the best one of the bunch
Adapted Screenplay: Silver Linings Playbook - The star of the film was easily its screenplay in my opinion.
Animated Feature: Wreck-it Ralph - Haven't seen all the nominees though
Foreign: Amour - Haven't seen all the nominees but Amour tore my heart out
Cinematography: Skyfall - Life of Pi was stunning but most of it was CGI. The Master was ROBBED in this category.
Score: Life of Pi - Beasts of the Southern Wild should have been nominated and won here though.
Song: Skyfall - It's Adele.


Last edited by saann; 22-02-2013 at 11:05 AM.
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22-02-2013
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Predictions

Best Picture: Argo
Best Director: Ang Lee or David O'Russell
Best Actor: DDL
Best Actress: Riva
Best Supporting Actor: Waltz
Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway
Original Screenplay: Django Unchained
Adapted Screenplay: Argo

I hope Anna K wins for Costume and Score. That score was incredible and he's becoming my new favourite film composer.

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22-02-2013
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I just saw Silver Linings Playbook and it was a solid film all around. However, performance wise...I think Bradley Cooper was a tiny bit stronger than Jennifer.
At times, I thought the fact that Jennifer is clearly much younger than Bradley was a bit distracting.

My predictions at the moment are as follows:


Best Picture: Argo (Very much deserved!!)

Best Actor: Daniel Day Lewis (I've only seen one movie in this category and it's not Lincoln, but the Academy loves him.
Although I'm kind of rooting for Bradley Cooper).

Best Actress: Riva (mainly because she won the Bafta. I don't think Jessica or Jennifer had winning performances, but they were both great.
And I haven't seen the other two films. It would be great to see a Wallis upset though).

Best Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz (I honestly thought Jamie Foxx was better, but I really want Django to win SOMETHING).

Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway (Kind of obvious at this point)

Best Director: Benh Zeitlin (considering the whole cast was newcomers, that was very impressive directing).

Animated film: Paranorman or Frankenweenie (Someone besides Pixar deserves to win at least one year).

Cinematography: Skyfall (Very hard category, because there were so many beautifully shot films this year).

Costume Design: Anna Karenina (Jacqueline Durran)

Documentary Film: How to Survive a Plague

Film Editing: Argo (the editing was perfect. Every scene had a specific purpose).

Foreign Language Film: Amour

Makeup & Hair: Les Miserables

Original Score: Argo (Alexandre Desplat)

Original Song: "Skyfall" by Adele

Production Design: Les Miserables

Sound Editing: Skyfall

Sound Mixing: Skyfall

Visual Effects: Prometheus (I thought it definitely had the best effects of the lot. There wasn't a shot in the film in which you could actually notice the digital effects. I saw that in the other choices, especially The Hobbit).

Adapted Screenplay: Argo

Original Screenplay: Django Unchained

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24-02-2013
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Who will win -

Picture: Argo
Director: Steven Spielburg
Actress: Riva
Actor: DDL
Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway
Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz
Original Screenplay: Django Unchained
Adapted Screenplay: Argo
Animated Feature: Wreck-it Ralph
Foreign: Amour
Cinematography: Life of Pi
Score: Life of Pi
Song: Skyfall
Costume: Anna Karenina

Who I want to win -

Picture: If I'm honest Zero Dark Thirty. Argo as my runner up. I was on the edge of my seat with both. Djano was great but its not QTs best. Lincoln was a snoozefest. I would be delighted if Amour won. That would be a moment.

Director: To be honest I don't really care. The fact that Kathryn and Ben aren't nominated makes this category sort of mundane. If Haneke won that would be fab upset. I don't believe Steven should get it for Lincoln. If DOR wins I will scream bloody hell.

Actress: I would be so happy if Riva wins but Jessica deserves it just as much. I can't understand people saying "oh she's got more noms ahead of her." So what. She deserves this one more than The Help. I'm not jumping on the I hate Jennifer bandwagon either. I think she's awesome but she's third runner up for me.

Actor: Joaquin. 100% all the way. I wasn't even impressed with DDL. Part of me feels it's just because he's playing a president. Bradley Cooper and Hugh Jackman gave better fantastic performances than DLL. I still don't know why Denzel was nominated.

Supporting Actress: As much as I love Amy this role is not going to be her win. Anne 100% deserves this. Helen Hunt is runner up for me. Sally Field was crap and I love her.

Supporting Actor: PSH was truly a thousand times better than DeNiro and TLJ. It would be amazing if he got it. As my runner up I'm backing Waltz as he's won the others awards.

Original Screenplay: QT all the way. Zero Dark Thirty as my runner up. I would love though if Wes and Roman pulled an upset.

Adapted Screenplay: I don't want DOR winning anything. Argo may have lied about a few things but it was still solid.

Animated Feature: I would rather Brave or Norman get it but I watched Wreck-it Ralph on Friday night and it is a cute story so any of these 3.

Foreign: Amour.

Song: Skyfall. Adele fan here and I lovely her wacky speeches lol.

Costume: I think Mirror Mirror should get it. Best thing about the film. Anna's costumes were stunning as well. I worship Colleen Atwood but well she can't win every time.

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24-02-2013
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OSCARS 2012 WINNERS

Best Picture
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty
Lincoln
Les Miserables
Life of Pi
Amour
Django Unchained
Argo

Best Director
David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook
Ang Lee, Life of Pi
Steven Spielberg, Lincoln
Michael Haneke, Amour
Benh Zeitlin, Beasts of the Southern Wild

Best Actor
Daniel Day-Lewis
, Lincoln
Denzel Washington, Flight
Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables
Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook
Joaquin Phoenix, The Master

Best Actress
Naomi Watts, The Impossible
Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty
Jennifer Lawrence
, Silver Linings Playbook
Emmanuelle Riva, Amour
Quvenzhané Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild

Best Supporting Actor

Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained
Phillip Seymour Hoffman, The Master
Robert De Niro, Silver Linings Playbook
Alan Arkin, Argo
Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln

Best Supporting Actress
Sally Field, Lincoln
Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
Jacki Weaver, Silver Linings Playbook
Helen Hunt, The Sessions
Amy Adams, The Master

Best Animated Feature Film
Frankenweenie
Pirates! Band of Misfits
Wreck-It Ralph
Paranorman
Brave

Best Foreign Language Film
Austria: Amour
Chile: No
Canada: War Witch
Denmark: A Royal Affair
Norway: Kontiki

Best Original Screenplay
John Gatins, Flight
Mark Boal, Zero Dark Thirty
Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained
Michael Haneke, Amour
Wes Anderson and Roman Coppola, Moonrise Kingdom

Best Adapted Screenplay
Lucy Alibar and Benh Zeitlin, Beasts of the Southern Wild
Chris Terrio, Argo
Tony Kushner, Lincoln
David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook
David Magee, Life of Pi

Best Cinematography
Seamus McGarvey, Anna Karenina
Robert Richardson, Django Unchained
Claudio Miranda, Life of Pi
Janusz Kaminski, Lincoln
Roger Deakins, Skyfall

Best Costume Design
Jacqueline Durran, Anna Karenina
Paco Delgado, Les Misérables
Joanna Johnston, Lincoln
Eiko Ishioka, Mirror Mirror
Colleen Atwood, Snow White and the Huntsman

Documentary Feature
5 Broken Cameras
The Gatekeepers,
How to Survive a Plague
The Invisible War
Searching for Sugar Man

Documentary Short
"Inocente," Sean Fine and Andrea Nix Fine

"Kings Point," Sari Gilman and Jedd Wider
"Mondays at Racine," Cynthia Wade and Robin Honan
"Open Heart," Kief Davidson and Cori Shepherd Stern
"Redemption," Jon Alpert and Matthew O'Neill

Film Editing
William Goldenberg, Argo
Tim Squyres, Life of Pi
Michael Kahn, Lincoln
Jay Cassidy and Crispin Struthers, Silver Linings Playbook
Dylan Tichenor and William Goldenberg, Zero Dark Thirty

Makeup and Hairstyling
Howard Berger, Peter Montagna and Martin Samuel, Hitcock
Peter Swords King, Rick Findlater and Tami Lane, The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Lisa Westcott and Julie Dartnell, Les Miserables

Best Original Score
Dario Marianelli, Anna Karenina
Alexandre Desplat, Argo
Mychael Danna, Life of Pi
John Williams, Lincoln
Thomas Newman, Skyfall

Best Original Song
"Before My Time," Chasing Ice
"Pi’s Lullaby," Life of Pi
"Suddenly," Les Miserables
"Everybody Needs A Best Friend," Ted
"Skyfall," Skyfall

Best Production Design
Sarah Greenwood and Katie Spencer, Anna Karenina
Dan Hennah, Ra Vincent and Simon Bright, The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Eve Stewart and Anna Lynch-Robinson, Les Miserables
David Gropman and Anna Pinnock, Life of Pi
Rick Carter and Jim Erickson, Lincoln

Best Animated Short
"Adam and Dog," Minkyu Lee
"Fresh Guacamole," PES
"Head over Heels," Timothy Reckart and Fodhla Cronin O’Reilly
"Maggie Simpson in 'The Longest Daycare,'" David Silverman
"Paperman," John Kahrs

Best Live Action Short
"Asad," Bryan Buckley and Mino Jarjoura
"Buzkashi Boys," Sam French and Ariel Nasr
"Curfew," Shawn Christensen
"Death of a Shadow (Dood van een Schaduw)," Tom Van Avermaet and Ellen De Waele
"Henry," Yan England

Best Sound Editing - tie
Erik Aadahl and Ethan Van der Ryn, Argo
Unchained Wylie Stateman, Django Unchained
Eugene Gearty and Philip Stockton, Life of Pi
Per Hallberg and Karen Baker Landers, Skyfall
Paul N.J. Ottosson, Zero Dark Thirty

Best Sound Mixing
John Reitz, Gregg Rudloff and Jose Antonio Garcia, Argo
Andy Nelson, Mark Paterson and Simon Hayes, Les Misérables
Ron Bartlett, D.M. Hemphill and Drew Kunin, Life of Pi
Andy Nelson, Gary Rydstrom and Ronald Judkins, Lincoln
Scott Millan, Greg P. Russell and Stuart Wilson, Skyfall

Best Visual Effects
Joe Letteri, Eric Saindon, David Clayton and R. Christopher White, The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Bill Westenhofer, Guillaume Rocheron, Erik-Jan De Boer and Donald R. Elliott, Life of Pi
Janek Sirrs, Jeff White, Guy Williams and Dan Sudick, Marvel’s The Avengers
Richard Stammers, Trevor Wood, Charley Henley and Martin Hill, Prometheus
Cedric Nicolas-Troyan, Philip Brennan, Neil Corbould and Michael Dawson, Snow White and the Huntsman

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24-02-2013
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rox_yr_sox View Post
Who I think will win (not who I hope will win)

Picture: Argo
Director: Ang Li
Actress: Riva
Actor: DDL
Supporting Actress: Anne
Supporting Actor: Waltz
Original Screenplay: Django
Adapted Screenplay: Argo
Animated Feature: Brave
Foreign: Amour
Documentary Feature:The Invisible War
I'm fairly happy with my performance of 9 out of 11. In hindsight, it was wishful thinking wanting the invisible war to win. As to best actress, it seems to me that chastain never recovered from ZDT's bad press and she was playing catch up the whole race. I think you could see her desperation when she even trotted out the secret boyfriend near the end to get some press. And I think riva's campaign started too late and was too little against the Hollywood system, so it never got enough momentum. It's a pity because I believe it was those two that really deserved it of the best actress nominees. I am genuinely perplexed that people think Lawrence's SLP performance was amazing. It was a sweet little film of course, but hardly a tour de force of acting on Lawrence's part. Someone else has mentioned this I believe as well, but I too think she looks far too young for her role as Bradley's opposite. To me, it was a piece of miscasting that was actually distracting. But props to Lawrence; she ran a superb, perfectly timed campaign. You can't really fault her on that.

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Last edited by rox_yr_sox; 24-02-2013 at 11:36 PM.
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25-02-2013
  150
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I didn't post my predictions here, but on my office ballot I did terribly, lol. I've never gotten so much wrong, but at least it was an exciting race (best supporting actor specially seemed like it could go in any direction imo).

I liked "Searching for Sugar man" a lot, but I was a little surprised it won as well - I thought Gatekeepers would get it.

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