Outfit. Someone dug up comparison pictures in the GGFashion thread, and it is the same coat and scarf.
I've gotten less interested in her this year too. It's a combination no longer watching the show as well as watching her 3 movies, which were all turkeys. I still like her, but I'm no longer enchanted with her.
With less than 2 weeks to go, I think it is safe to comment on her style overall this year. I think it was good. If there was nothing "OMG! That. is. so. Beautiful," there were also no horrendous "OMG what. was. she. thinking?!" eyesores.
Although even she can't redeem the Crazy Homeless Lady look Eric has bestowed on Blair this year.