Early Oscar Buzz (2007)

[IncurableLunatic]

all of my predictions won! yay for bets!

 

[KhaoticKharma]

Haha, it doesn't shock me as much...but I still think that.... That category is so tough this year, though -- almost too many great features!

Very true. Apart from Best Actor (Day-Lewis), Actress (Christie), and Supporting Actor (Bardem) all the other awards are looking pretty split.

Best Picture- Atonement vs. NCFOM
Best Supporting Actress- Amy Ryan vs. Cate Blanchett
Best Director- Schanbel vs. Coens
Animated Film- Ratatouille vs. Persepolis
Original Score- Jonny Greenwood vs. Dario Marianelli

Screenplay at the Oscars, however, is split between adapted and original, so I think both the Coens and Ms. Diablo Cody will walk away winners.

 

[Chaky]

Atonement won! I must say I didn't really see that coming. Considering how all the critics and guild awards have gone it's almost a snub for the Coens. But Atonement has gone down very well outside the US, opinion within seems to be more muted.

But this award puts Atonement back in contention for the big one at the Oscars. And I'm pretty darn positive it will do well at the Baftas in the run-up.

 

[lesypersound]

hahaha
atonement won?
ahahah

everytime i peak in on these awards they never fail to make me laugh. it's all a huge farce. but -- good for marion coiillard (played piaf in la vie en rose) and too bad for casey affleck...his performance as well the assassination for jesse james deserves more recognition. ahwells.

goodjob everyone on their predictions. :]

 

[Chaky]

Last of the Guilds announces:

The Producers Guild Awards

THE DARRYL F. ZANUCK PRODUCER OF THE YEAR AWARD IN THEATRICAL MOTION PICTURES
"The Diving Bell and the Butterfly" (Miramax)
"Juno" (Fox Searchlight)
"Michael Clayton" (Warner Bros.)
"No Country for Old Men" (Miramax/Paramount Vantage)
"There Will Be Blood" (Paramount Vantage/Miramax)

THE PRODUCER OF THE YEAR AWARD IN ANIMATED THEATRICAL MOTION PICTURES
"Bee Movie" (Dreamworks Animation)
"Ratatouille" (Walt Disney Pictures/Pixar Animation)
"The Simpsons Movie" (20th Century FOX)

PGA

 

[Chaky]

So it now looks like for Best Picture noms...

Locked:
No Country For Old Men
There Will Be Blood
Michael Clayton

Plenty of support:
The Diving Bell and The Butterfly
Juno
Into The Wild

Could sneak in:
Atonement
Sweeney Todd

 

[emma peel]

There will be blood should sweep, much better movie than the rest!!! but likely this year the awards will split like they did at the gglobes.

 

[Chaky]

...and welcome to Atonement-fest 2008!

aka BAFTA Film Awards Nominees

FILM
AMERICAN GANGSTER – Brian Grazer/Ridley Scott
ATONEMENT – Tim Bevan/Eric Fellner/Paul Webster
THE LIVES OF OTHERS – Quirin Berg/Max Wiedemann
NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN – Scott Rudin/Joel Coen/Ethan Coen
THERE WILL BE BLOOD – JoAnne Sellar/Paul Thomas Anderson/Daniel Lupi

BEST BRITISH FILM
ATONEMENT – Tim Bevan/Eric Fellner/Paul Webster/Joe Wright/Christopher Hampton
THE BOURNE ULTIMATUM – Frank Marshall/Patrick Crowley/Paul L Sandberg/Paul Greengrass/Tony Gilroy/Scott Z Burns/George Nolfi
CONTROL – Orian Williams/ Todd Eckert/Anton Corbijn/Matt Greenhalgh
EASTERN PROMISES – Paul Webster/Robert Lantos/David Cronenberg/Steve Knight
THIS IS ENGLAND – Mark Herbert/Shane Meadows

DIRECTOR
ATONEMENT – Joe Wright
THE BOURNE ULTIMATUM – Paul Greengrass
THE LIVES OF OTHERS – Florian Henckel von Donnersmarck
NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN – Joel Coen/Ethan Coen
THERE WILL BE BLOOD – Paul Thomas Anderson

FILM NOT IN THE ENGLISH LANGUAGE
nominations announced on Friday 4 January
THE DIVING BELL AND THE BUTTERFLY – Kathleen Kennedy/Jon Kilik/Julian Schnabel
THE KITE RUNNER – William Horberg/Walter Parkes/Rebecca Yeldham/Marc Foster
THE LIVES OF OTHERS – Quirin Berg/Max Wiedemann/Florian Henckel von Donnersmarck
LUST, CAUTION – Bill Kong/James Schamus/Ang Lee
LA VIE EN ROSE – Alain Goldman/Olivier Dahan

ANIMATED FILM
RATATOUILLE – Brad Bird
SHREK THE THIRD – Chris Miller
THE SIMPSONS MOVIE – Matt Groening/James L Brooks

LEADING ACTOR
GEORGE CLOONEY – Michael Clayton
DANIEL DAY-LEWIS – There Will Be Blood
JAMES McAVOY – Atonement
VIGGO MORTENSEN – Eastern Promises
ULRICH MÜHE – The Lives of Others

LEADING ACTRESS
CATE BLANCHETT – Elizabeth: The Golden Age
JULIE CHRISTIE – Away From Her
MARION COTILLARD – La Vie en Rose
KEIRA KNIGHTLEY – Atonement
ELLEN PAGE – Juno

SUPPORTING ACTOR
JAVIER BARDEM – No Country for Old Men
PAUL DANO – There Will Be Blood
TOMMY LEE JONES – No Country for Old Men
PHILIP SEYMOUR HOFFMAN – Charlie Wilson’s War
TOM WILKINSON – Michael Clayton

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
CATE BLANCHETT – I’m Not There
KELLY MACDONALD – No Country for Old Men
SAMANTHA MORTON – Control
SAOIRSE RONAN – Atonement
TILDA SWINTON – Michael Clayton

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
AMERICAN GANGSTER – Steven Zaillian
JUNO – Diablo Cody
THE LIVES OF OTHERS – Florian Henckel von Donnersmarck
MICHAEL CLAYTON – Tony Gilroy
THIS IS ENGLAND – Shane Meadows

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
ATONEMENT – Christopher Hampton
THE DIVING BELL AND THE BUTTERFLY – Ronald Harwood
THE KITE RUNNER – David Benioff
NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN – Joel Coen/Ethan Coen
THERE WILL BE BLOOD – Paul Thomas Anderson

MUSIC
AMERICAN GANGSTER – Marc Streitenfeld
ATONEMENT – Dario Marianelli
THE KITE RUNNER – Alberto Iglesias
THERE WILL BE BLOOD – Jonny Greenwood
LA VIE EN ROSE – Christopher Gunning

CINEMATOGRAPHY
AMERICAN GANGSTER – Harris Savides
ATONEMENT – Seamus McGarvey
THE BOURNE ULTIMATUM – Oliver Wood
NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN – Roger Deakins
THERE WILL BE BLOOD – Robert Elswit

EDITING
AMERICAN GANGSTER – Pietro Scalia
ATONEMENT – Paul Tothill
THE BOURNE ULTIMATUM – Christopher Rouse
MICHAEL CLAYTON – John Gilroy
NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN – Roderick Jaynes

PRODUCTION DESIGN
ATONEMENT – Sarah Greenwood/Katie Spencer
ELIZABETH: THE GOLDEN AGE – Guy Hendrix Dyas/Richard Roberts
HARRY POTTER AND THE ORDER OF THE PHOENIX – Stuart Craig/Stephenie McMillan
THERE WILL BE BLOOD – Jack Fisk/Jim Erickson
LA VIE EN ROSE – Olivier Raoux

COSTUME DESIGN
ATONEMENT – Jacqueline Durran
ELIZABETH: THE GOLDEN AGE – Alexandra Byrne
LUST, CAUTION – Pan Lai
SWEENEY TODD: THE DEMON BARBER OF FLEET STREET – Colleen Atwood
LA VIE EN ROSE – Marit Allen

SOUND
ATONEMENT – Danny Hambrook/Paul Hamblin/Catherine Hodgson
THE BOURNE ULTIMATUM – Kirk Francis/Scott Millan/Dave Parker/Karen Baker Landers/Per Hallberg
NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN – Peter Kurland/Skip Lievsay/Craig Berkey/Greg Orloff
THERE WILL BE BLOOD – Christopher Scarabosio/Matthew Wood/John Pritchett/Michael Semanick/Tom Johnson
LA VIE EN ROSE – Laurent Zeilig/Pascal Villard/Jean-Paul Hurier/Marc Doisne

SPECIAL VISUAL EFFECTS
THE BOURNE ULTIMATUM – Peter Chiang/Charlie Noble/Mattias Lindahl/Joss Williams
THE GOLDEN COMPASS – Michael Fink/Bill Westenhofer/Ben Morris/Trevor Woods
HARRY POTTER AND THE ORDER OF THE PHOENIX – Tim Burke/John Richardson/Emma Norton/Chris Shaw
PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: AT WORLD’S END – John Knoll/Charles Gibson/Hal Hickel/John Frazier
SPIDER-MAN 3 – Scott Stokdyk/Peter Nofz/Kee-Suk Ken Hahn/Spencer Cook

MAKE UP & HAIR
ATONEMENT – Ivana Primorac
ELIZABETH: THE GOLDEN AGE – Jenny Shircore
HAIRSPRAY – Nominees TBC
SWEENEY TODD: THE DEMON BARBER OF FLEET STREET – Ivana Primorac
LA VIE EN ROSE – Jan Archibald/Didier Lavergne

THE CARL FOREMAN AWARD
for Special Achievement by a British Director, Writer or Producer in their First Feature Film
CHRIS ATKINS (Director/Writer) – Taking Liberties
MIA BAYS (Producer) – Scott Walker: 30 Century Man
SARAH GAVRON (Director) – Brick Lane
MATT GREENHALGH (Writer) – Control
ANDREW PIDDINGTON (Director/Writer) – The Killing of John Lennon

SHORT ANIMATION
THE PEARCE SISTERS – Jo Allen/Luis Cook
HEAD OVER HEELS – Osbert Parker/Fiona Pitkin/Ian Gouldstone
THE CRUMBLEGIANT – Pearse Moore/John McCloskey

SHORT FILM
DOG ALTOGETHER – Diarmid Scrimshaw/Paddy Considine
HESITATION – Julien Berlan/Michelle Eastwood/Virginia Gilbert
THE ONE AND ONLY HERB MCGWYER PLAYS WALLIS ISLAND – Charlie Henderson/James Griffiths/Tim Key/Tom Basden
SOFT – Jane Hooks/Simon Ellis
THE STRONGER – Dan McCulloch/Lia Williams/Frank McGuinness

THE ORANGE RISING STAR AWARD
(voted for by the public) – nominees announced on Tuesday 8 January
SHIA LABEOUF
SIENNA MILLER
ELLEN PAGE
SAM RILEY
TANG WEI

bafta.org

 

[knightley]

Sweeney will definitely get a nomination for Best Picture, simply because they always throw in one comedy or musical and I think we can lock in NCFOM, There Will Be Blood, the unfortunate hideously acted mess that was Atonement, so that's three rather sobering dramas. The Academy is sure to pick some sort of comedy or musical to round it out. So I'm putting a lock on Sweeney getting the nomination.

Best Actor is between Depp (who will get his award, I think) and Day-Lewis. Depp's never got his and the academy likes to award actors for going out of their norm (his first musical, which he nailed) even for lackluster performances if it means they right their wrongs (see Bill Murray LOSING the award he should've won for Lost in Translation to Sean Penn in Mystic River. Still the biggest mistake by the academy, for sure). I hope Emile Hirsch gets a nomination because he carried Into the Wild, which I didn't think he could do from his previous performances, but he was simply stunning in that role. His chance of winning is astronomical and of even getting a nom, but it is a Sean Penn flick and the movie was really well-received, so I hope he at least gets some credit for the fact his acting saved that movie, not the direction.

Actress needs to go to Julie Christie who is so phenom in AFH that it is ridic. Yet again Keira sneaks in a nom because the movies from the year had weak female leads. Hopefully the academy will again see she is flat, lackluster, boring, has the same facial expression the entire film, and in no way is a decent actress (of course this is my opinion, but I'll never forgive her for ruining Lizzie B, she needs to stick to action blockbusters. She is just impossible to take as a serious actress because of her gape-mouthed pout). Marion Cotillard is the dark horse, but it should really between her and Christie for their powerful performances.

I'm surprised NCFOM hasn't received more in the way of accolade. It's a tote snub to the Coen brothers. :\

If Diving Bell and Butterfly doesn't win for best foreign, I'll probably have a heart attack from surprise and die.

 

[Chaky]

If Diving Bell and Butterfly doesn't win for best foreign, I'll probably have a heart attack from surprise and die.

I'd better heat up the defibrillator and start trying to resuscitate because The Diving Bell and The Butterfly is not eligible for Oscar nomination in that category.

But perfect timing! The Academy has released the long-list of Foreign Film nominees. Hmmm, don't know what to make of this except to say I've not seen any of them!

Austria, “The Counterfeiters,” Stefan Ruzowitzky, director
Brazil, “The Year My Parents Went on Vacation,” Cao Hamburger, director
Canada, “Days of Darkness,” Denys Arcand, director
Israel, “Beaufort,” Joseph Cedar, director
Italy, “The Unknown Woman,” Giuseppe Tornatore, director
Kazakhstan, “Mongol,” Sergei Bodrov, director
Poland, “Katyn,” Andrzej Wajda, director
Russia, “12,” Nikita Mikhalkov, director
Serbia, “The Trap,” Srdan Golubovic, director

oscars

 

[Faith Akiyama]

^The exclusion of TDBatB is so unfortunate This is the first year that I have not seen any of the foreign film nominees, so I know how you feel Chaky!

 

[IncurableLunatic]

^^ for the first time in my entire life, i haven't seen any of those Foreign Film nominees this year

maybe they didn't include The Diving Bell and The Butterfly because it's a shoe in

 

[KhaoticKharma]

Ironically, everyone was going on and on about whether La Vie En Rose or Persepolis was going to get the French nom for Best Foreign Language film... and neither are even a possibility, though I'm sure Marion Cotillard will get an actress nom, and Persepolis will easily be an animated feature contender.

And why isn't that Romanian film on there? I've heard so much about it...

 

[knightley]

Oh so I am totally dead then! Hahaha.

I wonder why it isn't being included. Does anyone know?

 

[Chaky]

I wonder why it isn't being included. Does anyone know?

Each country is also only allowed to submit one film for consideration (yeah, the rules in this category are really dumb). France's official submission was Persepolis and it looks like that didn't make it through to the next round of voting. Also I think that The Diving Bell and The Butterfly is an American co-production which means it doesn't meet the Academy's definition of a Foreign Film so it wasn't eligible anyway.

 

[leda]

i have only seen the serbian entry (The Trap/Klopka) which is narratively quite interesting but the unreasonable overabundance of (beautiful) long shots dampens the suspense and overall atmosphere, a few significant snips in the editing room would have me rooting for this much much more
well worth a watch in any case

 

[LUXXX]

I'm watching La Vie En Rose tonight...I sort of fell in love with Marion while watching her on the Oscar Roundtable discussion at Newsweek...very charming way about her.

 

[MyNameIs]

INOCAs (International Online Cinema Awards) Nominations, announced earlier today.

BEST PICTURE
The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Atonement
No Country for Old Men
Ratatouille
There Will Be Blood

BEST DIRECTOR
Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood
Joel Coen and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
David Fincher, Zodiac
Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Joe Wright, Atonement

BEST ACTOR
Ryan Gosling, Lars and the Real Girl
Daniel Day Lewis, There Will Be Blood
James McAvoy, Atonement
Viggo Mortensen, Eastern Promises
Sam Riley, Control

BEST ACTRESS
Amy Adams, Enchanted
Julie Christie, Away from Her
Marion Cotillard, La Vie en Rose
Nicole Kidman, Margot at the Wedding
Anamaria Marinca, 4 Months, 3 Weeks and 2 Days
Tang Wei, Lust, Caution

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Casey Affleck, The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
Paul Dano, There Will Be Blood
Tommy Lee Jones, No Country for Old Men
Max von Sydow, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett, I'm Not There
Kelly Macdonald, No Country for Old Men
Samantha Morton, Control
Saoirse Ronan, Atonement
Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton

BEST ENSEMBLE
The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Atonement
Hairspray
I'm Not There
No country for Old Men

BEST NON-ENGLISH LANGUAGE FILM
4 Months, 3 Weeks and 2 Days (Romania)
Black Book (The Netherlands)
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly (France/US)
Lust, Caution (Taiwan)
Persepolis (France)

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Persepolis
Ratatouille
The Simpsons Movie

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Eastern Promises / Steven Knight
Juno / Diablo Cody
Lars and the Real Girl / Nancy Oliver
Michael Clayton / Tony Gilroy
Ratatouille / Brad Bird

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Atonement / Christopher Hampton
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly / Ronald Harwood
No Country for Old Men / Joel Coen and Ethan Coen
There Will Be Blood / Paul Thomas Anderson
Zodiac / James Vanderbilt

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford / Roger Deakins
Atonement / Seamus McGarvey
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly / Janusz Kaminski
No Country for Old Men / Roger Deakins
There Will Be Blood / Robert Elswit

BEST FILM EDITING
Atonement / Paul Tothill
The Bourne Ultimatum / Christopher Rouse
No Country for Old Men / Roderick Jaynes
There Will Be Blood / Dylan Tichenor
Zodiac / Angus Wall

BEST ART DIRECTION
Atonement / Ian Bailie and Sarah Greenwood
Elizabeth: The Golden Age / Guy Dyas
Ratatouiille / Harley Jessup
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street / Dante Ferretti
There Will Be Blood / Jack Fisk

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Atonement / Jacqueline Durran
Elizabeth: The Golden Age / Alexandra Byrne
Hairspray / Rita Ryack
Lust, Caution / Lai Pan
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street / Colleen Atwood

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford / Nick Cave and Warren Ellis
Atonement / Dario Marianelli
Lust, Caution / Alexandre Desplat
Ratatouille / Michael Giacchino
There Will Be Blood / Jonny Greenwood

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
American Gangster, "Do You Feel Me"
Enchnated, "That's How You Know"
Once, "Falling Slowly"
Once, "If You Want Me"
Ratatouille, "Le Festin"

BEST SOUND MIXING
Atonement
The Bourne Ultimatum
No Country for Old Men
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
There Will Be Blood

BEST SOUND EDITING
The Bourne Ultimatum
No Country for Old Men
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
Ratatouille
Transformers

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
300
Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
Sunshine
Transformers

BEST MAKEUP
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Eastern Promises
Hairspray
La Vie en Rose
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street

 

[Chaky]

INOCAs

BEST DIRECTOR
David Fincher, Zodiac

BEST ACTOR
Sam Riley, Control

Glad to see some love for Zodiac and Control.

 

[IncurableLunatic]

Sam Riley must win the BAFTA's Orange Rising Star Award