Early Oscar Buzz (2007)

BAFTA Best Film Not In The English Language nominees

The Diving Bell And The Butterfly
The Kite Runner
La Vie En Rose
Lust, Caution
The Lives Of Others

BBC News

No surprises on this list. This nominees for this category have been decided by an expert committee this year. They've been announced early so voters have time to watch them all (DVDs for all five were sent before Christmas). The rest of the nominees are announced on January 16th.

My current fave is The Lives Of Others but I've only seen Diving Bell of the others so far so that may change.
 
I just read that none of the actors are attending GG. Is that true? If it is, I'm pissed because I NEED my fashion fix.
 
Well the actors are obviously under pressure from the studios to go out and promote their movies. But many of them wish to boycott the awards in support of the WGA. We'll have to wait and see what happens.
 
So it now looks like the Golden Globe televised ceremony is cancelled if this report is right:

So the Hollywood writers strike can now claim its first awards show casualty. I'm hearing from my sources that NBC will not be broadcasting the big Golden Globes show as planned for January 13th. Nor will even a full frills unbroadcasted dinner party be held, either. Instead, a stripped down news telecast will be aired exclusively by NBC News from the Beverly Hilton Hotel in Beverly Hills, site of what was supposed to be the big show, where the Hollywood Foreign Press Association will announce the Golden Globe winners who won't be present in the room.
deadlinehollywooddaily.com
 
^That's a huge setback for the studios...and such a shame because there are so many good films this year! :( I don't know if any particular film/thespian has a secure grasp on any award.

Critics' Choice Award Winners (In bold) from earlier tonight:
Best Picture
American Gangster
Atonement
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into the Wild
Juno
The Kite Runner
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
Sweeney Todd
There Will Be Blood

Best Actor
George Clooney - Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis - There Will Be Blood
Johnny Depp - Sweeney Todd
Ryan Gosling - Lars and the Real Girl
Emile Hirsch - Into the Wild
Viggo Mortensen - Eastern Promises

Best Actress
Amy Adams - Enchanted
Cate Blanchett - Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Julie Christie - Away From Her
Marion Cotillard - La Vie en Rose
Angelina Jolie - A Mighty Heart
Ellen Page - Juno

Best Supporting Actor
Casey Affleck - The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Javier Bardem - No Country for Old Men
Philip Seymour Hoffman - Charlie Wilson's War
Hal Holbrook - Into the Wild
Tom Wilkinson - Michael Clayton

Best Supporting Actress
Cate Blanchett - I'm Not There
Catherine Keener - Into the Wild
Vanessa Redgrave - Atonement
Amy Ryan - Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton - Michael Clayton

Best Acting Ensemble
Hairspray
Juno
No Country for Old Men
Sweeney Todd
Gone Baby Gone
Before the Devil Knows You're Dead

Best Director
Tim Burton - Sweeney Todd
Joel Coen and Ethan Coen - No Country for Old Men
Sidney Lumet - Before the Devil Knows You're Dead
Sean Penn - Into the Wild
Julian Schnabel - The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Joe Wright - Atonement

Best Writer
Diablo Cody - Juno
Joel Coen and Ethan Coen - No Country for Old Men
Tony Gilroy - Michael Clayton
Nancy Oliver - Lars and the Real Girl
Sean Penn - Into the Wild
Aaron Sorkin - Charlie Wilson's War

Best Animated Feature
Bee Movie
Beowulf
Persepolis
Ratatouille
The Simpsons Movie

Best Young Actor
Michael Cera - Juno
Michael Cera - Superbad
Freddie Highmore - August Rush
Ahmad Khan Mahmoodzada - The Kite Runner
Edward Sanders - Sweeney Todd

Best Young Actress
Nikki Blonsky - Hairspray
Dakota Blue Richards - The Golden Compass
AnnaSophia Robb - Bridge to Terabithia
Saoirse Ronan - Atonement

Best Comedy Movie
Dan in Real Life
Hairspray
Juno
Knocked Up
Superbad

Best Family Film
August Rush
Enchanted
The Golden Compass
Hairspray
Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix

Best Picture Made for Television
The Company
Bury My Heart at Wounded Knee
Tin Man
The War

Best Foreign Language Film
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
4 Months, 3 Weeks, and 2 Days
La Vie en Rose
Lust, Caution
The Orphanage

Best Song
"Come So Far", Queen Latifah, Nikki Blonsky, Zac Efron, Elijah Kelley - Hairspray
"Do You Feel Me", Anthony Hamilton - American Gangster
"Falling Slowly", Glen Hansard and Marketa Irglova - Once
"Guaranteed", Eddie Vedder - Into the Wild
"That's How You Know", Amy Adams - Enchanted

Best Composer
Marco Beltrami - 3:10 to Yuma
Alexandre Desplat - Lust, Caution
Clint Eastwood - Grace Is Gone
Jonny Greenwood - There Will Be Blood
Dario Marianelli - Atonement
Alan Menken - Enchanted

Best Documentary
Darfur Now
In the Shadow of the Moon
The King of Kong
No End In Sight
Sharkwater
Sicko

Receiver of the Joel Siegel Award: Don Cheadle

From brothersport on ONTD

Amy Ryan :clap:
 
julie christie
amy ryan
the diving bell and the butterfly
diablo cody
:heart::clap:
 
I don't know if any particular film/thespian has a secure grasp on any award.

Yeah you never can tell with the Oscars, they sometimes throw a curveball but I'd say most of the nominees are pretty much locked at this stage.

Best Picture
No Country for Old Men

:clap: This movie is just awesome.

Best Young Actress
Nikki Blonsky - Hairspray
Saoirse Ronan - Atonement

:blink: Are they serious? Ronan was superb.

Best Foreign Language Film
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly

Yes, I liked this very much. Shame about the Oscar rules for foreign film ruling out so many great movies.

Best Composer
Jonny Greenwood - There Will Be Blood
B) I'm really hoping Jonny gets an Oscar nom and wins. It would be really cool to see the guy out of Radiohead with an Oscar.
 
I so hope Casey Affleck gets something for his perfomance in The Assassination of Jesse James, I just can't get over how fantastic he was in that role.
 
The Directors Guild has spoken:

Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Feature Film for 2007
Paul Thomas Anderson - There Will Be Blood
Joel Coen & Ethan Coen - No Country For Old Men
Tony Gilroy - Michael Clayton
Sean Penn - Into The Wild
Julian Schnabel - The Diving Bell And The Butterfly

Winners are announced January 26th.

DGA

These are usually pretty good predictors of the Best Picture nominees at the Oscars. Last year I think they got 4/5 right.
 
The Writers Guild has taken a brief wander away from the picket line to announce their 2008 noms.

WGA Award Nominations 2008

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
  • JUNO, Written by Diablo Cody, Fox Searchlight
  • MICHAEL CLAYTON, Written by Tony Gilroy, Warner Bros. Pictures
  • THE SAVAGES, Written by Tamara Jenkins, Fox Searchlight
  • KNOCKED UP, Written by Judd Apatow, Universal Pictures
  • LARS AND THE REAL GIRL, Written by Nancy Oliver, MGM
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
  • NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN, Screenplay by Ethan Coen & Joel Coen, Based on the Novel by Cormac McCarthy, Miramax
  • THERE WILL BE BLOOD, Screenplay by Paul Thomas Anderson, Based on the Novel Oil by Upton Sinclair, Paramount Vantage
  • THE DIVING BELL AND THE BUTTERFLY, Screenplay by Ronald Harwood, Based on the Book by Jean-Dominique Bauby, Miramax
  • INTO THE WILD, Screenplay by Sean Penn, Based on the Book by Jon Krakauer, Paramount Vantage
  • ZODIAC, Screenplay by James Vanderbilt, Based on the Book by Robert Graysmith, Paramount Pictures
wga
 
American Cinema Editors (ACE:(

NOMINEES FOR 58TH ANNUAL ACE EDDIE AWARDS

BEST EDITED FEATURE FILM (DRAMATIC:(
The Bourne Ultimatum
Christopher Rouse, A.C.E.

Into the Wild
Jay Cassidy, A.C.E.

Michael Clayton
John Gilroy, A.C.E.

No Country for Old Men
Roderick Jaynes (aka Coen Bros)

There Will Be Blood
Dylan Tichenor, A.C.E.


BEST EDITED FEATURE FILM (COMEDY OR MUSICAL:(
Hairspray
Michael Tronick, A.C.E.

Juno
Dana E. Glauberman

Pirates of the Caribbean: At Worlds End
Craig Wood & Stephen Rivkin, A.C.E.

Ratatouille
Darren Holmes, A.C.E.

Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Chris Lebenzon, A.C.E.

ACE
 
Not Exactly A Winners List...

I got my issue of Entertainment Weekly today, and here are Dave Karger's predictions for nods.

Best Picture

No Country for Old Men
Michael Clayton
Atonement
There Will Be Blood
Juno

FYC: The Bourne Ultimatum

Best Actor

Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
George Clooney, Michael Clayton
Johnny Depp, Sweeney Todd
Viggo Mortenson, Eastern Promises
Ryan Gosling, Lars and the Real Girl

FYC: Christian Bale, Rescue Dawn

Best Actress

Julie Christie, Away from Her
Ellen Page, Juno
Marion Cotillard, La Vie en Rose
Angelina Jolie, A Mighty Heart
Laura Linney, The Savages

FYC: Nicole Kidman, Margot at the Wedding

Best Supporting Actor

Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
Phillip Seymour Hoffman, Charlie Wilson's War
Tom Wilkinson, Michael Clayton
Hal Holbrook, Into the Wild
Casey Affleck, The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford

FYC: J.K. Simmons, Juno

Best Supporting Actress

Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone
Cate Blanchett, I'm Not There
Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton
Ruby Dee, American Gangster
Catherine Keener, Into the Wild

FYC: Emily Mortimer, Lars and the Real Girl

Best Director

Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Joe Wright, Atonement
Sean Penn, Into the Wild
Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood

FYC: David Cronenberg, Eastern Promises

Best Original Screenplay

Diablo Cody, Juno
Tamara Jenkins, The Savages
Nancy Oliver, Lars and the Real Girl
Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton
Brad Bird, Ratatouille

FYC: Kelly Masterson, Before the Devil Knows You're Dead

Best Adapted Screenplay

Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Christopher Hampton, Atonement
Ronald Harwood, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood
Aaron Sorkin, Charlie Wilson's War

FYC: Sean Penn, Into the Wild
 
The Guild nominations are pretty solid indicators of how the Academy might vote. The Producers Guild announce next week I think. So far based on the Guild nominations already, Best Picture is looking like:

  1. No Country for Old Men (SAG, WGA, ACE, DGA)
  2. Michael Clayton (SAG, WGA, ACE, DGA)
  3. Into the Wild (SAG, WGA, ACE, DGA)
  4. There Will Be Blood (DGA, WGA, ACE)
  5. Juno (WGA, ACE) / The Diving Bell and the Butterfly (DGA, WGA)
The last spot is still up for grabs and of course the Academy can throw a curve ball and put in something unexpected. From the Guilds it's looking like Atonement is out of the running but it is the sort of thing the Academy likes so maybe it could sneak in.
 
My Predictions!

Golden Globe Nominees
winners will be announced Sunday, January 13, 2008 on NBC

Best Motion Picture Drama
American Gangster
Eastern Promises
The Great Debaters
Michael Clayton
No Country For Old Men
There Will Be Blood

Best Actress Drama
Cate Blanchett – Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Julie Christie – Away From Her
Jodie Foster – The Brave One
Angelina Jolie – A Mighty Heart
Keira Knightley – Atonement

Best Actor Drama

George Clooney – Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis – There Will Be Blood
James McAvoy – Atonement
Viggo Mortensen – Eastern Promises
Denzel Washington – American Gangster

Best Motion Picture Musical or Comedy
Across The Universe
Charlie Wilson's War
Hairspray
Juno
Sweeney Todd

Best Actress Musical/Comedy
Amy Adams – Enchanted
Nikki Blonsky – Hairspray
Helena Bonham Carter – Sweeney Todd
Marion Cotillard – La Vie En Rose
Ellen Page – Juno

Best Actor Musical/Comedy
Johnny Depp – Sweeney Todd
Ryan Gosling – Lars and the Real Girl
Tom Hanks – Charlie Wilson's War
Philip Seymour Hoffman – The Savages
John C. Reilly – Walk Hard: The Dewey Cox Story

Best Supporting Actor
Casey Affleck – The Assassination Of Jesse James By The Coward Robert Ford
Javier Bardem – No Country For Old Men
Philip Seymour Hoffman – Charlie Wilson's War
John Travolta – Hairspray
Tom Wilkinson – Michael Clayton

Best Supporting Actress
Cate Blanchett – I'm Not There
Julia Roberts – Charlie Wilson's War
Saoirse Ronan – Atonement
Amy Ryan – Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton – Michael Clayton

Best Animated Film
Bee Movie
Ratatouille
The Simpsons Movie

Best Foreign Film

4 Months, 3 Weeks And 2 Days (Romania)
The Diving Bell And The Butterfly (France, United States)
The Kite Runner (United States)
Lust, Caution (Taiwan)
Persepolis (France)

Best Director
Tim Burton – Sweeney Todd
Ethan Coen, Joel Coen – No Country For Old Men
Julian Schnabel – The Diving Bell And The Butterfly
Ridley Scott – American Gangster
Joe Wright – Atonement

Best Screenplay
Atonement
Written by Christopher Hampton

Charlie Wilson's War
Written by Aaron Sorkin

The Diving Bell And The Butterfly
Written by Ronald Harwood

Juno
Written by Diablo Cody


No Country For Old Men
Written by Ethan Coen, Joel Coen


Best Original Score
Grace Is Gone (Eastwood)
Composed by Clint Eastwood

The Kite Runner (Iglesias)
Composed by Alberto Iglesias

Atonement (Marianelli)
Composed by Dario Marianelli


Eastern Promises (Shore)
Composed by Howard Shore

Into The Wild (Vedder, Brook, King)
Composed by Eddie Vedder, Michael Vedder, Kaki Vedder

Best Song
"Despedida" – Love In The Time Of Cholera
Music By: Shakira and Antonio Pinto
Lyrics By: Shakira

"Grace Is Gone" – Grace Is Gone
Music By: Clint Eastwood
Lyrics By: Carole Bayer Sager

"Guaranteed" – Into The Wild
Music & Lyrics By: Eddie Vedder

"That's How You Know" – Enchanted
Music By: Alan Menken
Lyrics By: Stephen Schwartz

"Walk Hard" – Walk Hard: The Dewey Cox Story
Music & Lyrics By: Judd Apatow, Kasdan, John C. Reilly and Marshall Crenshaw
 
Haha, it doesn't shock me as much...but I still think that the novel was better than the film ^_^ That category is so tough this year, though -- almost too many great features!
 

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